America’s North Korea strategy needs a dose of reality
Each year on July 27, North Korea commemorates “Victory Day”, marking what it presents as its triumph in the Korean war. While few outside the country accept that characterisation, the date underscores a reality: the war never formally ended. The 1953 agreement was an armistice t
AdvertisementNorth KoreaOpinionAsia OpinionOpinionGabriela BernalAmerica’s North Korea strategy needs a dose of realityWashington’s dogged insistence on denuclearisation first has led to a prolonged deadlock that has only widened Pyongyang’s options3-MIN READ3-MIN ListenGabriela BernalDr Gabriela Bernal is a North Korea analyst based in Seoul, South Korea. Published: 8:30pm, 26 Jul 2026Each year on July 27, North Korea commemorates “Victory Day”, marking what it presents as its triumph in the Korean war. While few outside the country accept that characterisation, the date underscores a reality: the war never formally ended.
The 1953 agreement was an armistice that left the peninsula in a state of suspended conflict.Responsibility for the resulting instability is widely distributed. North Korea’s missile tests, expanding nuclear arsenal and escalatory rhetoric have undermined regional security.
South Korean administrations have added to tensions, the most recent being the ousted Yoon government, accused of attempting to provoke an attack by Pyongyang to justify its martial law declaration. Russia compounds the picture: its deepening military cooperation has strengthened North Korea’s military and economic resilience.Washington’s approach warrants scrutiny, given its central role in the war and any eventual peace settlement.
The armistice was signed by the Korean People’s Army, Chinese forces and the United States representing the UN Command – South Korea refused. Because Beijing’s policy does not constitute the principal obstacle to peace, the core of the impasse rests with Washington and Pyongyang.As a necessary signatory to any future peace agreement, the US holds the greatest capacity to unlock diplomacy, yet it pursues a strategy increasingly detached from reality.
For decades, US administrations maintained a denuclearisation-first posture: expecting North Korea to substantially dismantle its nuclear programme before meaningful normalisation, sanctions relief or a broader peace process can proceed. Yet North Korea today fields a more sophisticated and survivable nuclear force than before.The prolonged deadlock has widened Pyongyang’s options.
After Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, North Korea deepened its military cooperation with Moscow and stabilised relations with Beijing. These shifts expanded its strategic flexibility and eroded much of the leverage Washington and its allies once held.AdvertisementSelect VoiceSelect Speed0.
8x0.9x1.0x1.
1x1.2x1.5x1.
75x00:0000:001.00x
Đọc thêm từ Tài chính
China has put a Polish university on its European dual-use exports blacklist. Why?
In an unprecedented move, China has placed a Polish university alongside defence contractors on an export control list targeting entities linked to the European security sector. Wroclaw University of Science and Technology (PWr) was among 14 European Union entities added to a dua
The S&P 500’s earnings growth has gone bonkers thanks to one company
Markets are gearing up for the busiest week of second-quarter earnings season.
Israeli settlers set fire to West Bank mosques, graffiti and arson reported
Israeli settlers attacked Palestinian villages in the occupied West Bank early on Sunday, setting fire to two mosques and scrawling graffiti on buildings, Palestinian officials said. The attacks followed an incident on Friday when four Palestinians and two Israeli soldiers – one